Journal of Jilin University (Information Science Edition) ›› 2020, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (4): 482-490.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

Wind Farm Short-Term Power Prediction Based on Stacking and Fusion of Multiple GRU Models

GAO Jinlan,LI Hao,DUAN Yubo,WANG Hongjian   

  1. School of Electrical Engineering and Information,Northeast Petroleum University,Daqing 163318,China
  • Received:2020-01-10 Online:2020-07-24 Published:2020-08-13

Abstract: In order to improve the accuracy of wind farm short-term power prediction,based on deep learning,
a method for integrating wind farm short-term power prediction using the Stacking algorithm to integrate multiple
GRU( Gated Recurrent Unit) models is proposed. This method first builds three multi-layer GRU neural network
models establishing a first-level model,extracts high-dimensional temporal feature relationships in depth,builds a
training set from the prediction results of the first-level model,and then uses the newly generated training set to
train the second GRU model. The second-level GRU model uses a single-layer structure to find and correct
prediction errors in the first-level model and improve the overall prediction result. Finally,a two-level model
embedded Stacking fusion model is obtained. Taking the historical data of Ningxia Taiyangshan wind farm as an
example,the accuracy of the model is verified. The experimental results show that the GRU model fused by the
Stacking algorithm has at least an increase in the average absolute percentage error index of 0. 63 compared to other
algorithms,and the overall prediction effect is ideal. The accuracy of prediction has been improved significantly.

Key words: gated recurrent unit ( GRU) neural network, deep learning, Stacking integrated algorithm, wind power prediction, wind farm

CLC Number: 

  • TP183