吉林大学学报(地球科学版) ›› 2016, Vol. 46 ›› Issue (1): 202-210.doi: 10.13278/j.cnki.jjuese.201601204
危润初1,2, 肖长来1, 方樟1
Wei Runchu1,2, Xiao Changlai1, Fang Zhang1
摘要:
农业区地下水动态规律是农业水资源管理的重要依据。采用双向回归突变分析方法研究黑龙江建三江地区(19922011)地下水埋深序列的趋势突变点,结合水稻面积增长数据进行对比分析,找出地下水动态趋势突变与灌溉面积的响应关系,同时运用标准化降水指数(SPI)方法来分析研究地下水动态趋势突变与降水之间的响应关系。结果表明:建三江地区地下水水位的下降趋势具有明显的突变特征,整体上呈"快慢快"的特点,趋势突变时间多发生在20002001年间和20062007年间;在第一阶段和第二阶段,地下水水位下降趋势受水稻种植面积与降水影响,第三阶段主要受水稻种植面积增长的控制。
中图分类号:
[1] Siebert S, Burke J, Faures J M, et al. Groundwater Use for Irrigation:A Global Inventory[J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions, 2010, 7(3):3977-4021.[2] Sekhri S. Public Provision and Protection of Natural Resources:Groundwater Irrigation in Rural India[J]. American Economic Journal:Applied Economics, 2011, 3:29-55.[3] 郭龙珠. 三江平原地下水动态变化规律与仿真问题研究[D].哈尔滨:东北农业大学,2005. Guo Longzhu. Studies on Dynamic Regulation and Simulating Problem of Sanjiang Plain Groundwater[D]. Harbin:Northeast Agricultural University, 2005.[4] 胡卓玮, 朱琳, 宫辉力. 虚拟地理信息技术的地下水动态模拟分析应用[J]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版), 2007, 37(4):759-766. Hu Zhuowei, Zhu Lin, Gong Huili. Application of Virtual Geographical Technology on Dynamic Groundwater Simulation[J]. Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition), 2007, 37(4):759-766.[5] 王新民, 崔巍. 变权组合预测模型在地下水水位预测中的应用[J]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版), 2009, 39(6):1101-1105. Wang Xinmin, Cui Wei. Application of Changeable Weight Combination Forecasting Model to Groundwater Level Prediction[J]. Journal of Jilin University(Earth Science Edition), 2009, 39(6):1101-1105.[6] 张光辉,费宇红,张行南,等. 滹沱河流域平原区地下水流场异常变化与原因[J]. 水利学报,2008,39(6):747-752. Zhang Guanghui, Fei Yuhong, Zhang Xingnan, et al. Abnormal Variation of Groundwater Flow Field in Plain Area of Hutuo River Basin and Analysis on Its Cause[J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2008, 39(6):747-752.[7] 刘中培.农业活动对区域地下水变化影响研究:以石家庄平原区为例[D].北京:中国地质科学院,2010. Liu Zhongpei. Impact of Agricultural Activities on Regional Groundwater Variation:A Case Study of Shijiazhuang Plain[D].Beijing:Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences,2010.[8] Zhou Y,Zwahlen F,Wang Y,et al.Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation Requirements in Terms of Groundwater Resources[J]. Hydrogeology Journal, 2010, 18(7):1571-1582.[9] Marc V C, Mahdi R, Kristine M, et al. Analysis of Groundwater Resource Decline in an Intermountain Aquifer System in Central Iran[J]. Geologica Belgica, 2012, 15(3):176-180.[10] 翟远征,王金生. 北京市平原区地下水动态要素的时间变化及其启示[J]. 水利学报,2012,43(9):1034-1041. Zhai Yuanzheng, Wang Jinsheng. Temporal Variations of Elements of Groundwater Regime in Beijing Plain and Its Implications[J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2012, 43(9):1034-1041.[11] 魏凤英,曹鸿兴. 中国、北半球和全球的气温突变分析及其趋势预测研究[J]. 大气科学,1995,19(2):140-147. Wei Fengying, Cao Hongxing. Detection of Abrupt Changes and Trend Prediction of the Air Temperature in China, the Northern Hemisphere and the Globe[J]. Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 1995, 19(2):140-147.[12] 江剑民,谷湘潜,游性恬. 对长江宜昌站月平均径流量突变的分析[J]. 湖泊科学,2003,15(增刊):131-137. Jiang Jianmin, Gu Xiangqian, You Xingtian. An Analysis of Abrupt Changes in Monthly Streamflow at Yichang Section of the Changjiang River[J]. Journal of Lake Sciences, 2003, 15(Sup.):131-137.[13] 林卓宏,梁敏妍,梁军,等.江门市雷暴多发期气候特征研究[J]. 气象,2012,38(12):1502-1507. Lin Zhuohong, Liang Minyan, Liang Jun, et al. A Study on Climatic Characters in High Frequency Period of Thunderstorm in Jiangmen of Guangdong Province[J]. Meteorological Monthly,2012,38(12):1502-1507.[14] 付强,佟兆生,魏庆利.建三江分局地下水资源计算与评价[J].农机化研究,2002(1):47-48. Fu Qiang,Tong Zhaosheng, Wei Qingli. Calculating and Evaluating the Groundwater Resource of Jiansanjiang Area[J]. Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research,2002(1):47-48.[15] 任守德, 付强, 王凯. 基于宏微观尺度的三江平原区域农业水土资源承载力[J].农业工程学报,2011,27(2):8-14. Ren Shoude, Fu Qiang, Wang Kai. Regional Agricultural Water and Soil Resources Carrying Capacity Based on Macro-Micro Scale in Sanjiang Plain[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2011,27(2):8-14.[16] 刘东. 三江平原农业水文系统复杂性测度方法与应用[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2011:18-21. Liu Dong. Computing Methods and Applications for Complexity of Agrohydrological System[M].Beijing:China Water & Power Press,2011:18-21.[17] 姚章村,安瑞强,董经财,等.三江平原建三江地下水激发补给初步分析[J].黑龙江水专学报,2001, 28(3):26-31. Yao Zhangcun, An Ruiqiang, Dong Jingcai, et al. Preliminary Studies on Underground Water Resources Stimulated Supplement in Jiansanjiang Region of Sanjiang Plain[J].Journal of Heilongjiang Hydraulic Engineering College,2001,28(3):26-31.[18] McKee T B, Doesken N J,Kleist J. The Relationship of Drought Frequency and Duration to Time Scale[C]//Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, California. Boston:American Meteorological Society, 1993:179-184.[19] 王韶华,田园.三江平原地下水埋深变化及成因的初步分析[J]. 灌溉排水学报,2003,22(2):61-64. Wang Shaohua, Tian Yuan. Preliminary Research on Groundwater Table Change and Causes in Sanjiang Plain[J]. Journal of Irrigation and Drainage, 2003, 22(2):61-64.[20] Bussay A, Szinell C, Szentimery T. Investigation and Measurements of Droughts in Hungary[C]//Climatological & Agrometeorological Papers.Budapest:Hungarian Meteorological Service,1999.[21] 付强, 李国良. 三江平原地下水埋深时间序列的混沌研究[J]. 水土保持研究,2008,15(3):31-34. Fu Qiang, Li Guoliang. Chaos Studies on Series of Groundwater Depth in Sanjiang Plain[J]. Research of Soil and Water Conservation, 2008,15(3):31-34.[22] 苏晓丹, 栾兆擎, 张雪萍. 三江平原气温降水变化分析:以建三江垦区为例[J]. 地理研究, 2012,31(7):1248-1256. Su Xiaodan, Luan Zhaoqing, Zhang Xueping. Variations of Temperature and Precipitation in Sanjiang Plain:A Case Study of Jiansanjiang Reclamation Areas[J]. Geographical Research, 2012, 31(7):1248-1256. |
[1] | 卢文喜, 安永凯, 宋文博, 于婷. 吉林西部季节性气象干旱的时空演化特征[J]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版), 2016, 46(2): 543-551. |
[2] | 陈社明,卢文喜,罗建男,康柱. 吉林西部气象干旱的多标度分形特征[J]. 吉林大学学报(地球科学版), 2013, 43(1): 245-250. |
[3] | 武彩霞, 戴福初, 闵弘, 涂新斌, 邝国麟, 周跃峰. 台塬塬顶裂缝对黄土斜坡水文响应的影响[J]. J4, 2011, 41(5): 1512-1519. |
|