power grid project, importance, outlier detection, identification of key nodes, risk warning ,"/> 基于离群点检测的电网项目关键节点预警算法

吉林大学学报(信息科学版) ›› 2022, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 488-495.

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基于离群点检测的电网项目关键节点预警算法

苏 黎1a, 贺雨晴1b , 杨 硕1a, 郭应建2   

  1. 1. 国网湖南省电力有限公司 a. 发展策划部; b. 经济技术研究院, 长沙 410007; 2. 北京国电通网络技术有限公司 规划与计划管理业务事业部, 北京 100085
  • 收稿日期:2021-12-16 出版日期:2022-07-14 发布日期:2022-07-15
  • 通讯作者: 杨硕(1985— ), 男, 湖南常德人, 国网湖南 省电力有限公司工程师, 主要从事电网规划设计、 电网综合计划和项目管理等研究, ( Tel) 86-18944998659 ( E-mail) dengqian0115@ 163. com。
  • 作者简介:苏黎(1981— ), 男, 湖南株洲人, 国网湖南省电力有限公司高级工程师, 主要从事电网规划设计、 电网投资计划和项目 管理等研究, (Tel)86-15010262412(E-mail)lijie8764@ 163. com;
  • 基金资助:
    国网湖南省电力有限公司供电服务中心基金资助项目(5700-202055484A-0-0-00)

Early Warning Algorithm for Key Nodes of Power Grid Project Based on Outlier Detection

SU Li1a, HE Yuqing1b , YANG Shuo1a, GUO Yingjian2   

  1. 1a. Development Planning Department; 1b. Economic and Technological Research Institute, State Grid Hunan Electric Power Company Limited, Changsha 410007, China; 2. Planning and Plan Management Business Division, Beijing Guodiantong Network Technology Company Limited, Beijing 100085, China
  • Received:2021-12-16 Online:2022-07-14 Published:2022-07-15

摘要: 为解决当前存在的风险预警误差大、 精确度和稳定性低的问题, 提出了基于离群点检测的电网项目关键节点预警算法。 采用离群节点预警衡量指标, 计算静态离群节点和离群节点任务重要度指标。 利用层次分析法和熵权法, 结合多指标融合加权, 提取关键离群节点特征, 完成关键节点识别。 使用 K-means 聚类电网关键节点 预警过程, 将电网关键节点的融合权值特征, 代入离群点检测系统中分析数据输出结果, 获取聚类最优值, 实现电网项目关键节点预警。 实验结果表明, 所提方法的风险预警稳定性和精确度较高, 能有效减小风险预警误差。

关键词: 电网项目, 重要度, 离群点检测, 关键节点识别, 风险预警 

Abstract: In early warning of the key nodes for power grid project, the unique outlier characteristics are considered. In order to solve the current problems of large risk warning errors, low accuracy and stability. An early warning algorithm of key nodes of power grid project based on outlier detection is proposed. Using the measurement index of outlier early warning, the task importance index of static outlier and outlier is calculated. Using analytic hierarchy process and entropy weight method, combined with multi index fusion weighting, the characteristics of key outlier nodes are extracted to complete the identification of key nodes. K-means is used to cluster the early warning process of key nodes of power grid. The fusion weight characteristics of key nodes of power grid are introduced into the outlier detection system to analyze the data output results, obtain the optimal clustering value, and realize the early warning of key nodes of power grid project. The experimental results show that the proposed method has high stability and accuracy, and can effectively reduce the risk of early warning error. 

Key words: power grid project')">

power grid project, importance, outlier detection, identification of key nodes, risk warning

中图分类号: 

  • TM73