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The Dynamic Change and Trend Forecast of Land Use in the Lower Huolin River Basin

CUI Jian1，LIN Nian-feng1，TANG Jie1，JIANG Ling-ling1，CAI Yu2   

  1. 1. College of Environment and Resources, Jilin University, Changchun 130026,China;2.Water Resources Protection Bureau of Song Liao River Basin, Changchun 130021,China
  • Received:2005-08-17 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2006-03-26 Published:2006-03-26
  • Contact: CUI Jian

Abstract: The lower Huolin River Basin is located in farmingpastoral zone and land use change have a great effect on the ecological environment in this area. Based on spatial analysis calculation model, it shows that spatial characteristics of land use change from 1989 to 2001 and the change regularity of land use types that the area of grassland, water area and marsh are decreasing and the area of barren land and infield are increasing. The evolution trend of land use types in future 24 years has been predicted by Markov model, and the growth of the area of woods and municipal land is based on the decrease of the area of grassland, water area and marsh in the future. The above conclusion is worthwhile for the protection of the ecological environment and rational utilization of the land resource.

Key words: land use, dynamic change, spatial analysis calculation model, Markov model

CLC Number: 

  • X171.1
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