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Uncertainty on Numerical Simulation of Groundwater Flow in the Riverside Well Field

LIU Pei-gui, SHU Long-cang   

  1. State Key Laboratory of Hydrology-Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University,Nanjing 210098, China
  • Received:2007-09-28 Revised:1900-01-01 Online:2008-07-26 Published:2008-07-26
  • Contact: LIU Pei-gui

Abstract: Based on detailed analysis of uncertain factors in the process of numerical simulation, an advanced first order second moment method (AFOSM) is proposed. The method is then applied to the reliability analysis of groundwater allowable withdrawal in the riverside well field. The evaluation result shows that the risk of over-pumping is 19.31% under abstraction of 4.7×104 m3/d, with consideration of the randomness of parameters.

Key words: riverside well field, numerical simulation of groundwater flow, uncertainty, risk analysis

CLC Number: 

  • P641.2
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