Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition) ›› 2025, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (10): 3394-3400.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb.20240696

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GA-Elman based confidence interval prediction algorithm for wireless communication link reliability

Na-na WANG1(),Sheng HAN2   

  1. 1.Network Security Department,Shanxi Police College,Taiyuan 030401,China
    2.College of Computer Science and Technology,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China
  • Received:2024-06-23 Online:2025-10-01 Published:2026-02-03

Abstract:

Aiming at the situation where the state of wireless communication links changes over time, in order to achieve real-time updating and adjustment of link reliability prediction,in this paper a wireless communication link reliability confidence interval prediction algorithm based on GA-Elman is proposed. Based on the analysis of the quality characteristics of wireless communication links, a logarithmic distance path loss model is constructed to transform the study of wireless communication link reliability into the study of wireless communication link signal-to-noise ratio. The wireless communication link signal-to-noise ratio signal is decomposed into stationary sequences and noisy sequences through wavelet decomposition, and respectively input into Elman neural networks for prediction. Iteratively optimize the weights and bias parameters of the Elman neural network using genetic algorithm (GA) to improve the accuracy of the prediction model. Combine the predicted values with confidence levels to achieve confidence interval prediction of wireless communication link reliability. Through experimental verification found that the optimal Elman neural network parameters can be obtained when the genetic algorithm iterates 60 times, effectively improving prediction accuracy. This algorithm has higher accuracy and reliability in the field of wireless communication links, and can provide more accurate prediction information, providing strong support for the reliability evaluation and optimization of wireless communication links.

Key words: GA-Elman, wireless communication links, confidence interval prediction, link quality, signal-to-noise ratio, wavelet decomposition

CLC Number: 

  • TN92

Fig.1

GA-Elman model flow"

Fig.2

Wireless communication link structure of experimental intelligent substation"

Table 1

Related parameters of experimental intelligent substation"

参数实际值
变电站电网电压/kV220
变压器额定容量/(MV·A)100
无线通信系统频段/GHz2.4
通信速率/Mbps100
日常网络通信流量/Mbps10~50
流量波动率/%±10
噪声传感器型号JHM-NS02
测量范围/dB30~120
测量误差/dB±1.5
转换精度/dB0.1
频率响应/Hz35~20000

Fig.3

Deviation of optimal parameters under different iterations"

Fig.4

Wavelet decomposed before and after signal images"

Fig.5

Comparison of prediction results"

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