Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition) ›› 2025, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (3): 963-973.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb.20230584

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Mechanism and modeling of car⁃following behavior under local multi⁃vehicle influence

Lan-fang ZHANG(),Gen-ze LI,Ting-yu LIU,Bo YU()   

  1. The Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering,Ministry of Education,Tongji University,Shanghai 201804,China
  • Received:2023-06-09 Online:2025-03-01 Published:2025-05-20
  • Contact: Bo YU E-mail:zlf2276@tongji.edu.cn;boyu@tongji.edu.cn

Abstract:

Aiming at the limitations of single-dimensional car-following model to describe vehicle car-following behavior in local multi-vehicle environment, the mechanism of vehicles in adjacent lane influencing the subject vehicle car-following behavior is explored, and a vehicle car-following model more suitable for local multi-vehicle environment is attempted to be established. The driving behavior variable reflecting the influence of vehicles in adjacent lane was determined by correlation analysis. Vortisch indicator of similarity(VIS) was used to characterize the influence of vehicles in adjacent lane on car-following behavior. Chi-square independent test and kernel density curve were used to determine the VIS demarcation threshold reflecting whether the influence is significant. Recursive feature elimination was used to screen the variables related to car-following samples significantly affected by vehicles in adjacent lane. The influence mechanism of variables was determined according to the statistical analysis results. Based on the mechanism proposed, the car-following model suitable for local multi-vehicle environment was constructed and its prediction effect was evaluated. Results show that VIS between the speed of subject vehicle and following vehicle in adjacent lane can characterize the influence and the VIS threshold is 0.668. It is concluded that the attention mechanism and memory effect can explainthe influence mechanism of car-following behavior in multi-vehicle environment. Considering the attention mechanism and memoryeffect, RMSE decrease by 65% in full velocity difference model (FVD) model and 62% in intelligent driver model (IDM) model, MAE decrease by 65% and 59% and R2 increased by 180% and 288% respectively, which proved the rationality of the attention mechanism and memory effect in explaining the car following behavior of subject vehicle in local multi-vehicle environment.

Key words: traffic and transportation safety engineering, multi-vehicle environment, car-following behavior, similarity indicator, recursive feature elimination, intention mechanism, memory effect

CLC Number: 

  • U491.2

Fig.1

Data extraction process and partial scene variables"

Table 1

Vehicle driving state variables"

变量字段字段含义单位
vs主车速度km?h-1
vsp主车前车速度km?h-1
Δvs主车跟驰对速度差km?h-1
va相邻车道后车速度km?h-1
vap相邻车道前车速度km?h-1
Δva相邻车道前、后速度差km?h-1
Δvsa主车与相邻车道后车纵向速度差km?h-1
as主车加速度m?s-2
asp主车前车加速度m?s-2
aa相邻车道后车加速度m?s-2
aap相邻车道前车加速度m?s-2
Δxs主车道跟驰对间距m
Δxa相邻车道前、后间距m
Δxsaf主车与相邻车道后车纵向间距m
Δxsap主车与相邻车道前车纵向间距m
T跟驰轨迹时长s

Table 2

Correlation analysis of different vehicle variables between the subject and adjacent lane"

变量

Pearson相关系数
总体样本前车为平稳序列

vˉs

vˉa

Δxˉs

Δvˉa

vˉs

Δxˉa

Δxˉx

Δxˉa

Fig.2

vs~va time series of different VIS samples"

Fig.3

Independence test results and data density distribution'"

Fig.4

Flow chart of RFE algorithm"

Fig.5

Heatmap of variables correlation"

Fig.6

RFE results based on random forest regression"

Table 3

Variable data characteristic statistics"

变量均值标准差最小值较小四分位数中位数较大四分位数最大值
Δvˉsa-2.226.68-18.54-6.46-1.652.0914.53
vˉs38.705.5224.7234.5938.6442.9251.99
Δxˉsaf148.77122.910.5328.37125.86248.83462.83
T249.2188.99136.00178.00220.00298.00476
Δvˉa0.641.38-2.67-0.2500.441.554.73
Δxˉs21.776.288.7616.8320.7526.5134.92

Fig.7

Variable-VIS scatter plot and fitting curve"

Fig.8

Partial model prediction results"

Fig.9

Model evaluating indicator results"

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