›› 2012, Vol. ›› Issue (03): 612-617.

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Destination choice behavior modeling based on space-time prism method

WU Wen-jing1, JUAN Zhi-cai1,2, SUN Bao-feng1   

  1. 1. Transportation College of Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China;
    2. Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200240, China
  • Received:2011-04-25 Online:2012-05-01

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Abstract: Based on the space-time prism method, the traveller activity space was limited in a definite space-time prism, the accessibility of activity zone in space was defined under time constraints according to the activity plan of the traveller. A 2-step modeling strategy was proposed for the destination choice behavior. An attracting ratio of the zone was introduced, and a destination choice behavior model with a non-liner utility function was built, and the quantification process, the parameter calibration and the result check of the zone attracting ratio were discussed. The results showed that the destination choice set can be defined by the time-space constraints of the travel in combination with the GPS technology. The non-linear utility function with the zone attracting ratio can predict the destination choice behavior more accurately. The conbination of the theory and the real behavior of the traveller provides a new idea for modeling of the destination choice behavior.

Key words: engineering of communications and transportation system, space-time prism method, zone attracting ratio, destination choice behavior, disaggregate

CLC Number: 

  • U491
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