吉林大学学报(工学版) ›› 2021, Vol. 51 ›› Issue (5): 1673-1683.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb20200409
• 交通运输工程·土木工程 • 上一篇
Ying-ying MA1,2(),Si-yuan LU2(),Xiao-ming ZHANG2,Wen-shu WEI2
摘要:
本文旨在进行节假日高速公路出行特征分析及出行行为决策建模。首先,进行节假日高速公路出行行为特性调查和分析,总共回收有效问卷数量500份;其次,考虑个体风险偏好差异性,提出基于巢式Logit-累积前景理论模型的高速公路出行时段选择模型,进一步了解节假日高速公路出行行为决策;最后,以广东省节假日高速公路为对象进行案例研究,并进行模型精度检验。研究表明:本文模型总体预测误差为14.14%,仅基于巢式Logit模型预测误差约为22.22%。与其他模型相比,本文模型有利于提高预测结果的精度。
中图分类号:
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