›› 2012, Vol. ›› Issue (03): 581-587.

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Analysis of traffic flow reliability operation trend of urban road network under sudden disaster

LIN Ci-yun1,2, WANG Lin-hong2, GONG Bo-wen1,2, ZHAO Ding-xuan1,3, YANG Zhao-sheng1,2   

  1. 1. State Key Laboratory of Automobile Simulation and Control, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China;
    2. College of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China;
    3. College of Mechanical Science and Engineering, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China
  • Received:2011-04-25 Online:2012-05-01

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Abstract: To identify the road network traffic flow reliability evolution and the potential trend under sudden disaster, the Rough set theory in combination with the urban traffic state identification and prediction knowledges were used to construct a knowledge representation system for the road traffic network reliability under sudden disaster. The logic reasoning of road traffic network reliability operation trend was realized through a series of operation processes, such as discretization of attribute data of the road traffic network elements, attribute and data reduction of the road traffic network reliability decision making table, etc. The experiment results demonstrated that the road traffic network reliability fits well with the traffic flow charactesistic under sudden disaster. The prediction accuracy of the proposed knowledge representation system for the road traffic network reliability reaches up to 90%.

Key words: engineering of communication and transportation system, traffic flow reliability, sudden disaster, rough set theory, traffic situation assessment

CLC Number: 

  • U491.1
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