关键词: 交通运输系统工程, 交通需求管理, 非集计模型, 活动, 出行

Abstract:

An evaluation index system of TDM was developed. Then an evaluation model system with universal applicability was developed, using Multinomial Logit model, Nested Logit model and activitybased transportation demand forecasting theory. With this model system, the acceptability of the public transport priority policy was predicted. The results indicate that the TDM policy can be evaluated comprehensively with the evaluation model developed in this paper under aspects of traffic impact, user satisfaction, etc. The study of this paper can provide decision method for government to carry out rational and effective TDM policy, and it is helpful for the popularization of TDM theory and the solving of urban traffic congestion problem.

Key words: engineering of communications and transportation, transportation demand management, disaggregate model, activity, travel