Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition) ›› 2026, Vol. 56 ›› Issue (1): 21-30.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb.20240682

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Multimodal trajectory prediction based on target anchor-driven

Zhen-hai GAO(),Ming-xi BAO,Rui ZHAO,Ming-hong TANG,Fei GAO()   

  1. National Key Laboratory of Automotive Chassis Integration and Bionics,Jilin University,Changchun 130022,China
  • Received:2024-06-19 Online:2026-01-01 Published:2026-02-03
  • Contact: Fei GAO E-mail:gaozh@jlu.edu.cn;gaofei123284123@jlu.edu.cn

Abstract:

Existing trajectory prediction methods often overlook the interaction between vehicles and the map, resulting in trajectory predictions that do not conform to road topologies. To address this issue, this paper proposes a target-anchor-driven multimodal trajectory prediction method (TMTP) that couples the vehicle's motion trend. The proposed model efficiently incorporates prior knowledge of traffic scenarios into the algorithm through a graph model, allowing for precise description of heterogeneous interactions within traffic scenes. The model thoroughly considers the interaction between the vehicle's historical trajectories in the dynamic scene graph, the future trajectories of the ego vehicle, and the topological information of the vectorized map in the static scene graph. By utilizing an attention network, the model aggregates features from different nodes, achieving enhanced local-global feature fusion. Furthermore, TMTP represents driving intentions as target anchors, simplifying the complexity of the intention space. The proposed method was evaluated on the large-scale Argoverse motion forecasting benchmark. The results demonstrate thatthe model introduced in this paper outperforms the official benchmark model by 56.2% and 56.6% in metrics minFDE1 and minFDE6, respectively, exhibiting an exemplary capability in accomplishing the task of trajectory prediction.

Key words: vehicle engineering, trajectory prediction, target anchor, graph neural networks

CLC Number: 

  • U463

Fig.1

TMTP architecture"

Fig.2

Convolutional residual network"

Fig.3

Recurrent feature pyramid networks"

Fig.4

Anchor diagram"

Fig.5

Multi-head attention module"

Fig.6

Argoverse dataset scene diagram"

Table 1

The specific hyperparameter settings"

超参数Argoverse
优化器Adam
学习率0.01
训练次数30
Dropout0.1
批量尺寸12
权重衰减3×10-4

Fig.7

Qualitative test results of TMTP on Argoverse"

Table 2

TMTP predicts quantitative experimental results of 3 s in time domain in Argoverse dataset"

模型K=1K=6
minADE1minFDE1MR2,1minADE6minFDE6MR2,6
NN(baseline)3.4557.8830.8721.7133.2870.537
TNT2.1744.9590.7090.9871.4460.166
GOHome1.6893.6470.5720.9791.4500.105
THOMAS1.6693.5930.5610.9421.4390.105
本文1.6613.4500.5590.9521.4280.104
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