机动车出行者出发时间选择的影响因素

doi:10.7964/jdxbgxb201303012

吉林大学学报(工学版) ›› 2013, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (03): 626-632.doi: 10.7964/jdxbgxb201303012

机动车出行者出发时间选择的影响因素

张春勤¹, 姜桂艳², 吴正言³

1. 上海交通大学安泰经济与管理学院,上海 200052;
2. 吉林大学交通学院,长春 130022;
3. 桂林理工大学土木与建筑工程学院,桂林 541004

收稿日期:2012-03-03 出版日期:2013-05-01 发布日期:2013-05-01
通讯作者: 姜桂艳(1964-),女,教授,博士生导师.研究方向:动态交通信息采集与预测,交通事件自动检测与交通状态判别.E-mail:jinaggy@jlu.edu.cn E-mail:jinaggy@jlu.edu.cn
作者简介:张春勤(1985-),女,博士研究生.研究方向:交通信息采集,处理与应用技术,交通运输规划与管理. E-mail:zcq044@163.com
基金资助:
"863"国家高技术研究发展计划项目(2009AA11Z218).

Factors influencing motor vehicle travel departure time choice behavior

ZHANG Chun-qin¹, JIANG Gui-yan², WU Zheng-yan³

1. Antai College of Economics & Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai 200052, China;
2. College of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China;
3. College of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Guilin University of Technology, Guilin 541004, China

Received:2012-03-03 Online:2013-05-01 Published:2013-05-01

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

采用陈述偏好(Stated preference survey, SP)调查法获取机动车出行者的出行行为数据,利用混合Logit模型建立了总体对象和典型对象出发时间选择行为模型.采用不同范围的出行行为数据对模型进行验证,结果表明:出行者的社会经济特性、预计的出行延误信息、对路网的熟悉程度、天气状况信息、交通信息的质量以及出行目的是影响出行者改变出发时间的主要因素,总体对象和典型对象模型存在一定的差异.研究结果揭示了交通信息在不同环境中对出发时间选择行为的影响不同,从而可以为交通信息发布方法和策略的确定提供依据.

关键词: 交通运输系统工程, 出发时间, 陈述偏好调查, 混合Logit模型

Abstract:

State Preference (SP) survey was carried out to obtain the travelers' behavior data. To analyze the factors that influence the departure time choice behavior, an overall object model and a typical object model were proposed using the mixed logit model. The proposed models were verified by different ranges of the travel behavior data. The results identify the factors that influence the departure time choice behavior. These factors include the social-economic characteristics of the travelers, the travel delay information, the familiarity of road network, the weather information, the quality of travel information and the travel purpose. There exist certain differences between the overall object model and the typical object model. The results of this study reveal the impact of the traffic information on the departure time choice under different environments, and provide the basis for the dissemination strategy of traffic information.

Key words: engineering of communications and transportation system, departure time, stated preference survey, mixed Logit model

中图分类号:

U491

张春勤, 姜桂艳, 吴正言. 机动车出行者出发时间选择的影响因素[J]. 吉林大学学报(工学版), 2013, 43(03): 626-632.

ZHANG Chun-qin, JIANG Gui-yan, WU Zheng-yan. Factors influencing motor vehicle travel departure time choice behavior[J]. 吉林大学学报(工学版), 2013, 43(03): 626-632.

参考文献

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机动车出行者出发时间选择的影响因素

Factors influencing motor vehicle travel departure time choice behavior

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