吉林大学学报(工学版) ›› 2017, Vol. 47 ›› Issue (5): 1411-1419.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb201705012

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Roundabout travel time prediction based on characteristics of lane choosing

LI Zhi-hui, WANG Kun-wei, SONG Xian-min, LIU Xin-shan, SHEN Yao, LUO Rui-qi   

  1. College of Transportation, Jilin University, Changchun 130022, China
  • Received:2016-07-13 Online:2017-09-20 Published:2017-09-20

Abstract: In order to directly reflect the traffic state at the roundabout, a model of vehicle travel time at roundabout was proposed based on vehicle lane choosing characteristics. The boundaries among the entering area, circling area and existing area at a roundabout are calibrated using the accumulative probability of the initial location of lane-changing. A relation model between the probability of lane choosing and traffic volume is developed with real field data. Considering the influences of the factors of roundabout geometry condition, vehicle queuing and lane changing, a travel time prediction model was established to obtain entering time, circling time and existing time. Finally, the model parameters were calibrated using survey data. Results show that the error of the prediction model is within 10% that meets the accuracy requirement. Thus, the model is beneficial for the traffic state evaluation and control method of the roundabout.

Key words: engineering of communication and transportation system, roundabout, travel time, probability of lane choosing, queuing delay

CLC Number: 

  • U491.1
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