Journal of Jilin University(Engineering and Technology Edition) ›› 2023, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (2): 562-568.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb20220076

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Displacement interval prediction model and simulation of accumulation landslide based on ceemdan theory

Jian WU(),Bin XU   

  1. College of Civil Engineering & Architecture,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,China
  • Received:2022-01-18 Online:2023-02-01 Published:2023-02-28

Abstract:

In order to better control the landslide hazard risk and reduce the disaster loss to the greatest extent, a prediction model and simulation of landslide displacement interval of accumulation layer based on CEEMDAN theory were proposed. The landslide information is collected by multi type sensors, the sample entropy is calculated by the adaptive complete set empirical mode decomposition algorithm, the noise range is obtained according to the correlation coefficient, and the signal noise is removed by the set reasonable threshold; Construct a distributed architecture of multi-sensor data fusion to improve the comprehensiveness of landslide data; The final prediction results are output through the construction of prediction model and sample training. The simulation results show that the proposed model has high prediction interval coverage and low interval width, ensure the prediction accuracy.

Key words: adaptive empirical mode decomposition, sample entropy, particle swarm optimization, support vector machine, accumulation landslide displacement

CLC Number: 

  • TP318.2

Fig.1

Schematic diagram of landslide data acquisition device"

Fig.2

Schematic diagram of distributed fusion architecture"

Table 1

Mechanical parameters of soil"

参数类型数值
含水量/%12
密度/(g·cm3)2.03
黏聚力/kPa25.7
内摩擦角度/(°)24.6

Fig.3

Schematic diagram of sensor position"

Fig.4

Landslide displacement prediction results of monitoring point 2 with different methods"

Fig.5

Evaluation results of PICP values of different algorithms"

Fig.6

MPIW value evaluation results of different algorithms"

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