吉林大学学报(工学版) ›› 2023, Vol. 53 ›› Issue (3): 601-628.doi: 10.13229/j.cnki.jdxbgxb20221370

• 综述 •    

面向复杂系统健康评估的若干思考

全权1(),崔根1,赵峙尧2,戴训华3,温畅4,蔡开元1   

  1. 1.北京航空航天大学 自动化科学与电气工程学院,北京 100191
    2.北京工商大学 人工智能学院,北京 100048
    3.中南大学 计算机学院,长沙 410083
    4.北京航空航天大学医院,北京 100191
  • 收稿日期:2022-10-26 出版日期:2023-03-01 发布日期:2023-03-29
  • 作者简介:全权(1981-),男,教授,博士生导师. 研究方向:可靠飞行控制和健康评估. E-mail:qq_buaa@buaa.edu.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金项目(61973015);科技创新2030——“新一代人工智能”重大项目(2021ZD0140301)

Speculative views on health assessment of complex systems

Quan QUAN1(),Gen CUI1,Zhi-yao ZHAO2,Xun-hua DAI3,Chang WEN4,Kai-yuan CAI1   

  1. 1.School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering,Beihang University,Beijing 100191,China
    2.School of Artificial Intelligence,Beijing Technology and Business University,Beijing 100048,China
    3.School of Computer Science and Engineering,Central South University,Changsha 410083,China
    4.Beihang University Hospital,Beijing 100191,China
  • Received:2022-10-26 Online:2023-03-01 Published:2023-03-29

摘要:

随着工程中系统复杂性的不断提高,系统的可靠性和安全性面临新的挑战,与此同时,系统的可靠性、安全性等概念进一步发展成为一种新的综合性指标,即“健康”。于是,复杂系统的预测和健康管理逐步成为系统工程领域一个新的研究热点,并在航空航天、机械、电力电子等领域得到应用实践。本文介绍了复杂系统健康评估的研究现状,并在此基础上提出了一种面向复杂系统的健康评估框架,其包含数据获取、数据处理、健康评估和健康预测等4个部分。最后,对复杂系统的健康评估进行了总结和展望,并建议开展面向健康评估开源项目的研究工作,即OpenHA。

关键词: 系统工程, 复杂系统, 健康评估, 健康预测, OpenHA

Abstract:

With the increasing system complexity in various engineering applications, greater demands are being placed on the reliability and safety of these systems. A kind of more comprehensive requirement called “health” has been naturally put up beyond reliability and safety. Consequently, Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) for complex systems has naturally become a hotspot in systems engineering. Moreover, it has been applied in many areas, such as aerospace, machinery, and power electronics. This paper summarizes and proposes a framework for the health assessment of complex systems, which consists of four aspects: data acquisition, data processing, health assessment, and health prediction. At last, the prospect view of health assessment is presented, and a system-leveled open-source project, namely OpenHA (Open Health Assessment) is suggested.

Key words: system engineering, complex system, health assessment, health prediction, OpenHA

中图分类号: 

  • TP277

图1

PHM相关文献逐年统计折线图"

图2

CiteSpace聚类分析可视化结果"

图3

故障与症状关系"

图4

状态/性能随时间退化或恶化曲线"

图5

健康评估的一般流程"

图6

健康评估的一般结构设计"

图7

数据处理一般过程"

图8

信号分解去噪方法"

表1

时序信号常用数据特征"

序号特征名称计算公式
1均值(Mean)μ=1ni=1nxi
2整理平均值(Average rectified value)XARV=1nn=1nxi
3方差 (Variance)σ2=1n-1i=1nxi-μ2
4方根幅值Xr=1ni=1nxi2
5峰峰值(Peak to peak)XPP=maxxi-minxi
6峰值(Peak)XP=maxxi
7均方根(Root mean square,RMS)XRMS=1ni=1nxi2
8峰度(Kurtosis)XK=1σ4i=1nxi-μ4n

图9

主成分分析示意图"

图10

卷积神经网络示意图"

图11

隶属函数示意图"

图12

模糊逻辑下的健康空间和不健康空间"

图13

健康集合或不健康集合示意图"

图14

分步属性评估流程图"

表2

体重范围判定表"

体重情况BMI
体重过低<18.5
体重正常18.5~23.9
超重24~27.9
肥胖≥28

图15

基于输出偏差的评估方法示意图"

图16

基于状态偏差的评估方法示意图"

图17

聚类示意图"

图18

复杂系统总的健康情况由各子系统、部件和传感器共同决定[5]"

图19

不同布局、结构的多旋翼示意图"

图20

常见的系统可靠性方框图"

图 21

故障树示意图"

图22

阶段循环系统的流程图及一个简单示例"

图23

状态预测示意图"

图24

模型拟合和预测示意图"

图25

蒙特卡洛方法思想"

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